Tim's Weather World: Where is winter?

CT Snow_02.JPG

Today should mark the 310th day in a row with a high of at least 32°, a new record streak.  If we hit 32° or more today as expected then this winter will rank #2 for the latest first sub-freezing high of the season. Today should also the 354th day this year we have seen a high of at least 32° .   This year now moves into second place for the most days with a high of freezing or warmer.

 

Tim Midwest - RPM Snowfall Accum ORD

 

Prospects for snow are paltry.  So far we have seen a scant .9″ of snow, well below the 9.3″ we have on average by now.  The long range outlooks (10 day forecast) from both the GFS (above image) and European model (below image) indicate  we won’t need the shovels any time soon.  The GFS spits out .6″ and the ECMWF just .1″.

 

Tim Midwest - RPM Snowfall Accum ORD ECMWF

There is cold and snow out there.  Just over 60% of the continguous US has snow cover.  There are wind chill advisories in effect for parts of North Dakota, Minnnesota, and northern Iowa where wind chills could dip to 35° below.  We will get grazed by a snow system to the south that could squeeze out flurries or light snow across our southern suburbs today.  We will also be on the bottom fringes of the Arctic air mass that is bringing the chill to the northern plains.  We feel the effects of that tomorrow with the coldest day of the season so far.  Aside from that, the next at least seven days look to be quiet and not too terribly cold with very little snow.

 

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