Has a tornado has ever hit the same spot twice?
Definitely, yes. Weather phenomena do not “remember” past events and therefore do not avoid repetitious occurrences. Thelma Holt can testify to that. Her house, located in Moore, Okla., a south suburb of Oklahoma City, experienced not two but three direct strikes from tornadoes in less than five years: on Oct. 4, 1998, on May 3, 1999, and May 8, 2003. The first two tornadoes caused repairable damage but the third tornado destroyed the structure.
The likelihood that a tornado will strike a particular spot in the United States is greatest in the Central and South Great Plains, but estimates of strike frequency vary greatly, ranging from once in 400 years to once every 4,000 years for a powerful tornado.
After 13 straight days with temperatures below average we should finally warm back up to just about average today with a high in the lower 40s. Today should be the warmest day we have seen in nearly two weeks. Monday could be the warmest day we have seen in over two months. Monday’s high will get close to 50°. Last time we were that warm was way back on December 28th last year when the high hit 50°. If we hit 50° on Monday it will only be the 4th time highs have hit 50° or more since the start of winter. Last winter we hit 50° or more ten times by now with even a few 60s and one 70° high mixed in.
These warmer days will be welcome after such a cold start to 2014. 50 of the first 65 days, or 77% of days, have been below average. Only 10 days in January were above average and only 5 in February.
These signs of spring come amid periods of colder than average weather though. 30s for highs this weekend and we’re back below average again for the middle and end of next week. So enjoy it while you can!
The graphic below shows the forecast temperatures for 3 pm Monday from the GFS model.